Bunbury et al. phenotyped 277 soil, freshwater, and marine bacterial isolates, measuring total B12, extracellular B12 (0.2 Β΅m filtrate), and 1-hour uptake of 500 pM B12. Of 211 measurable strains, 56% took up >250 pM B12 and 37% synthesized >50 pM; both traits showed strong phylogenetic signal (Pagel's Ξ» β 0.99, P < 0.001) . Four trait groups emerged: Scavengers (take up, no synthesis), Providers (synthesize, release β₯5% extracellularly), Retainers (synthesize, retain), and Reclaimers (synthesize and take up).
Note: Reclaimer/Non-Reclaimer split is within synthesizers; Scavenger and Bystander splits among non-synthesizers, so bar heights are approximate reconstructions from reported prevalence.
For 23 producer strains, extracellular B12 in controlled live-dead mixtures was predicted from independently estimated uptake constants using B(t,f) = bfΒ·exp[βk(1βf)t], achieving concordance CCC = 0.793 with MAE = 0.068 AUC units and permutation p = 0.001 . Reclaimers consistently recaptured released B12; Providers and Retainers left it extracellular.
The genomic analysis is honest: random forest on KO profiles predicted only synthesis out-of-clade (p = 0.030), while uptake (p = 0.816) and EC-B12 fraction (p = 0.636) failed . A key qualification: glucose-stimulated release in Providers was confounded by increased dead-cell signal, so growth-associated versus lytic release remains unresolved . Additional blindspots: no auxotrophs in the collection (consumer competition unmeasured), single defined medium, coefficients not per-cell, and the algal bioassay does not resolve cobamide analog diversity. The work converges with phage-lysis evidence showing B12 release from marine Sulfitobacter , but this preprint adds the crucial correction that reuptake counteracts release. BacA association with lower uptake was not significant after population-structure correction; causality requires direct transporter testing. Overall, a well-designed, well-controlled study with clear limitations acknowledged by the authors.
Simulated using the paper's published model form; parameter values chosen to span the reported Provider (low k) and Reclaimer (high k) regimes. Not empirical data.
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