Reported data align with a trade-off: switchgrass shows “drought resilience” at the plant growth level (biomass largely unaffected), but drought timing reshapes hydrolysate chemistry in a way that can strongly constrain fermentation and ethanol output. Specifically, vegetative-stage drought produced the largest metabolomic shifts in leaves, while senescence-stage drought produced the best fermentation outcomes, coinciding with the lowest hydrolysate saponin levels and a predictive relationship between saponins and fermentation lag time.
If validated beyond greenhouse conditions, developmental timing could become a controllable lever in feedstock strategy: drought scenarios that preferentially elevate hydrolysate saponins may increase fermentation lag and reduce ethanol, while senescence-associated drought profiles may be less inhibitory (in this system).
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