Giannecchini, Arvia, and Tassone (University of Florence) serially passaged five throat swabs from the 2024-25 season in MDCK, VERO E6, and A549 cells: two double-positive swabs (sample 1: H1N1pdm09 Ct 20 + SARS-CoV-2 Ct 28; sample 2: H3N2 Ct 28 + SARS-CoV-2 Ct 27) and three single-positive controls (Ct 20-25). Inocula were normalized by diagnostic Ct. Across three passages, single-positive samples showed significantly higher influenza replication than double-positive samples in all three cell lines; H3N2 was completely lost by passage 3 in VERO E6, and SARS-CoV-2 replication was abolished in A549 during coinfection . Cytokine mRNA (IL-1Ξ±, IFN-Ξ±, IL-6) in A549 cells was strain-specific: H1N1pdm09/SARS-CoV-2 coinfection reduced all three cytokines at passage 3 vs H1N1pdm09 alone, while H3N2/SARS-CoV-2 increased IL-1Ξ± and IL-6 but not IFN-Ξ± .
The central confound is acknowledged but unquantified: Ct normalization does not equalize infectious particle counts, since double-positive swabs may contain fewer viable virions of each virus . Two co-positive samples total means no statistical power for the coinfection effect, and only three cytokines were measured at mRNA level in a single cell line. The strain-specific cytokine discordance is the most interesting observation but rests on single biological isolates per group. Consistency with the authors' own prior in vitro interference work lends modest internal support, though self-citation does not constitute independent replication .
Matched infectious-titer controls (TCID50/plaque-normalized inocula) showing equal replication in co- and single-positive swabs would falsify the interference claim; conversely, dose-mixed viruses showing the same attenuation would strengthen it. Larger multi-sample replication of the cytokine asymmetry is needed before generalization.
Simulated illustration (NOT observed data): expected influenza replication trajectories across passages under the interference hypothesis vs equal-dose null, assuming ~1.2 log10-unit attenuation per passage with 25% uncertainty; units: relative viral RNA (log10, arbitrary). Assumption: Ct correlates with genome copies; infectious fraction unknown.
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