Vetter and colleagues compared 16 aging markers across epigenetic, proteomic, telomere, composite, psychological, skin, and brain domains in 1,083 BASE-II participants (mean 68.3 years; 52% women) with ~7.4-year follow-up . After Bonferroni correction (Ξ±=0.0001), only GrimAge DNAmAA, DunedinPACE, BioAge, and ALI showed significant cross-sectional associations; ALI and DunedinPACE dominated longitudinal analyses. Notably, markers predicted outcomes better at 7.4 years than cross-sectionally, suggesting sensitivity to subclinical aging processes .
Reported AUC improvements (DeLong p<0.00001 for ALI results); note the extension-model sensitivity analysis reduced ALI's MetS/T2D/LS7 gains by up to 17 pp.
Strengths: same-cohort marker comparison, three adjustment tiers, sex-stratified sensitivity analyses, and modified-ALI sensitivity analyses excluding outcome-overlapping variables (which mostly preserved significance) . However, key blindspots remain: ALI's dominance is partly tautological since its components (blood pressure, glucose, lipids) overlap diagnostic criteria for MetS, T2D, and LS7; the cohort is a healthier, higher-education convenience sample; Bonferroni correction may miss true effects; BrainAge (n=255) lacked power; and markers were analyzed separately, not in combination . This converges with a decades-old critique that no single "biological age" existsβmarkers capture distinct dimensions, with inter-marker correlations only rβ€|0.31| across domains . External replication in representative cohorts with mortality endpoints and a third timepoint is needed before any screening use.
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