This editorial critiques Sawaya et al's prospective study of 81 women with HER2-positive breast cancer treated with anthracyclines, taxanes, and trastuzumab; 26 patients (32%) developed cardiotoxicity. After anthracycline treatment, only two predictors were significant: peak systolic longitudinal strain <19% (sensitivity 74%, 95% CI 51β90%) and ultrasensitive cardiac troponin I >30 pg/mL (sensitivity 48%, 95% CI 27β69%). The sequential combined endpoint had only 35% sensitivity, while a parallel "either-positive" model reached 87% (95% CI 66β97%) .
The editorial's sharpest methodological points: (1) positive predictive value is prevalence-dependent, not a validity measure; (2) follow-up of 15 months captures only early-onset cardiotoxicity, missing late-onset anthracycline cardiomyopathy that can emerge years later; (3) continued trastuzumab and paclitaxel during follow-up confound attribution to anthracyclines alone; (4) many patients with initial LV ejection fraction dysfunction improved between 12β15 months, questioning clinical meaning of short-term changes. Only 5 of 26 patients with cardiotoxicity had cardiac symptoms .
Framing screening evaluation by the Wilson-Jungner criteria (effective treatment exists, natural history understood, treatable population defined, test acceptable), the editors conclude the proposed screening satisfies them only "partially" β chiefly because no validated early intervention was established, and the study authors themselves noted ACE inhibitors/Ξ²-blockers pretreatment was not associated with reduced cardiotoxicity . This aligns with later cardio-oncology consensus emphasizing multidisciplinary monitoring of cancer-treatment cardiotoxicity .
The editorial acknowledges but does not quantify how many patients the short window misses; it also advocates dexrazoxane cardioprotection and cumulative dose control, citing its own group's randomized trial data, without independent cost-effectiveness analysis . Note also that broader vascular toxicity occurs with other regimens β e.g., increased von Willebrand factor (median 113%β130%) and carotid intima-media thickness (+0.025 mm, p=0.02) during BEP chemotherapy β so echocardiography and troponin alone may under-capture the cardio-oncology risk spectrum . Larger, longer, adequately powered validation cohorts are required before any screening adoption β a conclusion that would be overturned only by reproducible sensitivity/PPV in independent populations plus demonstrated outcome benefit from early intervention .
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