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    Pre-registration Materials

    (1) Predictor Dictionary Template

    (2) Endpoint Adjudication Specification

    These tables are designed to be β€œpre-registration-ready” by forcing explicit definitions (what, how measured, allowable transformations), and explicit decision rules (who decides, how disagreements are resolved, and what evidence is admissible).
    Rationale for pre-specifying analysis/policies is aligned with trial pre-specification and statistical principles guidance: and SPIRIT for trial protocols: . Statistical principles for confirmatory settings and estimands are addressed in ICH E9(R1): . Endpoint adjudication and data-handling quality assumptions align with Good Clinical Practice requirements: .

    Table A β€” Pre-registered Predictor Dictionary Template

    Use this to pre-register every predictor feature: its source, timing, allowed processing, missing-data handling, and eligibility for inclusion. This reduces analysis flexibility and supports auditability.

    Field What to write (pre-specify) Checks / constraints
    Predictor ID Unique stable identifier (e.g., PRED_001) Must be immutable across protocol revisions
    Predictor name (human-readable) Short descriptive label Must match lab/CRF naming conventions used in study files
    Predictor domain Clinical, lab, imaging-derived, genomics, demographics, prior history, etc. Allows downstream reporting and governance
    Source system CRF, EHR, lab instrument, device, imaging pipeline, sequencer pipeline, manual adjudication, etc. Must list data lineage reference documents
    Measurement timepoint Exact relative time to index event (e.g., baseline, week 12) and clock definition Must specify β€œallowed window” for taking the value
    Population eligibility Who can contribute this predictor (inclusion/exclusion criteria) Prevents post hoc conditioning
    Raw variable definition Exact raw field(s) used (units, coding, instrument-specific labels) State units and coding scheme; forbid unit changes without protocol amendment
    Transformation rules Allowed transforms (e.g., log, scaling, categorization cutpoints) and parameters All parameters fixed; no data-dependent tuning
    Derived features Formulas for composites/ratios/aggregates (symbol-level) Specify whether numerator/denominator require nonzero constraints
    Missingness handling Pre-specified strategy: indicator, exclusion rule, imputation method family, or β€œno imputation” If imputing, specify imputation target, allowed predictors in the imputation model, and random seed policy
    Outlier rules Definition of outlier, capping/winsorization rules, or QC rejection rules Must be based on pre-defined instrument/QC criteria
    QC checks Value ranges, consistency checks across visits, duplicate resolution rule List hard-fail vs soft-flag thresholds
    Feature inclusion criterion Rule for whether predictor enters final model candidate set Prevents selection based on outcome information
    Admissible data versions Protocol version & data freeze identifier(s) that define the analysis dataset Supports reproducibility
    Primary use (training vs adjudication) Whether used for model training, calibration, baseline risk score, stratification, or other Clarify any separation constraints
    Analysis time window constraints Prevent leakage: define that predictors must occur strictly before endpoint assessment Explicit ordering rule
    Reporting requirement What summary statistics will be shown for this predictor Specify metrics and stratification variables
    Reproducibility note Dataset construction query/logic statement reference Must link to immutable code version or spec text
    Endpoint leakage audit Rule describing how you will verify no endpoint information is included in predictors Example checks: time stamps, forbidden fields, join constraints
    Pre-specification governance note: SPIRIT/CONSORT support documenting outcomes and analysis-related items in advance where appropriate to reduce flexibility and improve credibility of results .

    Table B β€” Endpoint Adjudication Specification (Pre-registered Adjudication Spec)

    Use this to predefine how endpoints are determined from source evidence (events, imaging, lab triggers, clinician notes) and how to resolve disagreement. Endpoint adjudication should be designed to limit observer bias and ensure consistent decision rules, consistent with GCP expectations for reliable data handling .

    Section Spec fields (what to write) Decision/quality constraints
    Endpoint identity Endpoint name, type (binary/time-to-event/continuous), primary vs secondary label Must match protocol endpoint naming; no renaming without amendment
    Adjudication triggers What source signals initiate a review (suspected event codes, imaging flags, lab thresholds, AE reports) Define trigger list explicitly; avoid free-text triggers
    Evidence package Allowed documents for adjudication (imaging reports, raw images, pathology, operative notes, lab results, etc.) Predefine admissible vs excluded evidence types
    Inclusion/exclusion window Time boundaries for accepting evidence relative to index/start date Specify timezone/clock definition
    Case classification rules Criteria mapping evidence to: definite / probable / possible (or analogous categories), with explicit logic Use deterministic rules; document any clinical judgment allowed
    Outcome date determination Rule for endpoint onset date (first day meeting criteria, imaging date, symptom onset date) Date precedence order must be defined
    Reviewer blinding What reviewers can/cannot see (treatment assignment, investigator site, prior outcomes) Predefine blinding status and exceptions
    Number of reviewers Single vs dual review; if dual, specify independent review vs consensus Specify minimum review quorum
    Disagreement handling Conflict resolution algorithm (third adjudicator, majority rule, arbitration panel) Specify how ties are broken
    Adjudication adjudicator training Calibration process and competency checks (without using outcome labels from participants outside allowed training scope) Predefine retraining triggers
    Quality metrics Planned reliability reporting (e.g., agreement statistics) and how they will be computed Specify metrics and denominators; avoid outcome-informed tuning
    Resolution documentation Required documentation fields: evidence summary, rule(s) used, category selection, reviewer rationale Rationale completeness criteria
    Handling missing evidence Rule for when evidence is incomplete: treat as non-case, probable, or request additional info Define max time to obtain missing evidence
    Adjudication data outputs Final adjudicated endpoint label, plus metadata (category, date, evidence completeness flag) Specify variable schema for analysis datasets
    Estimand alignment How endpoint adjudication decisions correspond to the pre-specified estimand (e.g., event under ideal/real-world definition) State any sensitivity plans if adjudication uncertainty exists
    Sensitivity analyses Planned alternatives: include β€œprobable” vs only β€œdefinite”; censoring or reclassification rules Must be prespecified to avoid post hoc endpoint redefinition
    Statistical transparency note: ICH E9(R1) highlights prespecifying estimands and analysis/sensitivity logic to reduce post hoc flexibility . Protocol/reporting alignment note: SPIRIT/CONSORT encourage structured protocol/outcome definition and reporting consistency .

    Assumptions, blind spots, and what could change

    • Assumption: you will map these templates onto your specific endpoint/predictor set and data lineage. Without your domain-specific definitions (e.g., exact endpoint criteria), no adjudication or predictor set can be fully evaluated.
    • Blind spot: if the adjudication rules embed discretionary interpretation without deterministic logic, reproducibility may suffer; consider strengthening category logic and evidence admissibility.
    • Potential conflict: if endpoint category thresholds interact with missing evidence rules, your sensitivity plans should be prespecified as part of ICH E9(R1)-style sensitivity logic .
    • What would change the spec: regulatory/jurisdictional requirements for endpoint adjudication or your study’s ethical/operational constraints could require modifications; the templates remain structurally valid.


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    Updated: May 02, 2026

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